[richardw]

We currently hold all the agency. We have the potential to fix those. They’re not binary. We can slow/reverse climate impact and you can have a small nuclear war. Creating AI is a one-way function and once it exists, climate change or nuclear war or biological impact or survival become an outcome of what the AI does. We hand it our agency, for good or ill.

[atmartins]

Wait, what? Why is AI unlimited? There are many constraints like the speed of information, calculation, available memory, etc. Where does it cross into the physical world? And at what scale? Is it going to mine iron unnoticed or something? How will it get raw materials to build an army? Firewalls and air gapped systems are all suddenly worthless because AI has some instant and unbounded intelligence? The militaries of the world watch while eating hot dogs?

A lot of things CAN happen but I'm confused when people state things as if they WILL. If you're that much of an oracle tell me which stonk to buy so I can go on holiday.

[shaunxcode]

What I could see happening is a cult forming around an AGI and doing their bidding.

[startupsfail]

We’ve already screwed up. Hockey stick climate change and extinction is now in progress.

This can change, with the fast advent of Fusion (net positive shown at the end of 2022) and AI (first glimpses of AGI in the begging of 2022).

And yes, we definitely should not allow a madman with a supercomputer (like Musk or Putin or …) to outcompete more reasonable players.

[politician]

Would you mind elaborating on why Musk is in the same class as Putin for me? I’m not seeing it.

[startupsfail]

Authoritarian, mendacious and unpredictable. Controls a lot of resources (i.e. space launchers, satellites with unknown capabilities, robotic vehicles, supercomputers, propaganda machines). Considers himself above the government.

[politician]

When was the last time Musk abducted 15,000+ children and force migrated them? Used the resources of a nation to invade a neighboring country with the aim of conquest? Come on, just admit that you were wrong to put them on the same level of your pyramid of people you hate.

[startupsfail]

Hey, I don’t dislike Musk. He is one of the people who is actually making a difference. Nearly all the others are building yachts and procrastinating.

But that doesn’t mean that I’d like him to be the absolute ruler with a superior AI tech. He thinks too much of himself and he’ll make mistakes.

[randmeerkat]

Fortunately Sam Altman, not Musk is running point at OpenAI. imho Sam is the perfect person for the job. If anyone can manage the risks of something like AGI while also optimizing for the benefits, it’s Sam.

[8note]

Is he making a difference making inefficient luxury cars? Cars and car dependent infrastructure are part of the climate change problem, regardless of whether the cars burn fossil fuels

If anything, he's using his wealth to solve the wrong problems, and has sucked up taxpayer resources to do so

[midoridensha]

>When was the last time Musk abducted 15,000+ children and force migrated them?

When was the first time Putin did? According to my knowledge, it was just last year. Putin is 70 years old now and has been in control of Russia for over 20 years.

In short, Putin wasn't always this bad. He's gotten worse over the years.

Musk is now roughly the same age Putin was when he took power. If he somehow gains control over the resources of a nation like Putin did, he could be far worse than Putin in 20+ years.

The OP wasn't claiming that today's Musk is just as bad as today's Putin; he's just making examples of people with great potential for harm.

[varjag]

Putin has led similar genocidal campaign in Chechnya from the day one of his ascent to power. The only reason Chechen children were not abducted is Chechens are not Russian-passing and they had no desire to absorb them.

[8note]

Do we? If consider the systems our forebears created to hold the agency.

The incentives of capitalism and government determine if or how climate change will be solved, and I have approximately zero agency in that