[obsoletedbygpt]

I'm amazed at how much nay-saying there is on HN about LLMs. This community has bought into so many fads, like crypto, yet when presented with what's clearly going to be the most disruptive technology of your life, you act like it's no big deal. Is this just nervous denial? Are you suddenly incapable of linear (not exponential) extrapolation? Imagine what ChatGPT, Midjourney, or whatever Apple and Google are cooking up will be capable of if they only improve linearly, at say 1% per year?

People ought to be preparing themselves for this as if it were a COVID-like black swan event, except much, much worse. And do not bank on Sam Altman and his fellow tech bro billionaires holding the reins of these job-annihilating machines delivering with their promise of UBI.

[skybrian]

There are AI boosters making exaggerated claims in their enthusiasm and therefore people take the other side in reaction to them because they’re wrong. The skeptics then sometimes write blanket dismissals in opposition, and that’s wrong too, and you get a loop. That’s just how it goes on the Internet sometimes.

I totally get the motivation and it’s why I started blogging again. To get more interesting conversations, I think we need curiosity while keeping in mind how little we know and how bad we are at predicting the future.

[weatherlite]

I get why you're being down voted but your overall point is valid imo. We didn't get any good answers about what happens if this thing keeps getting better.

"People will find new jobs/things to do" doesn't really cut it. It's not really the tech titans fault, the governments really need to start stepping in.