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by ur-whale 1178 days ago
LLMs are parrots with very, very large memories, an amazing compression algorithm, and a very good "interpolator" (something that can take a bunch of retrieved facts and synthesize a mix of them)

I've met a lot of people in my professional career that are deemed "experts" because they have the exact same skill set as LLMs : huge memory and a gift for crafting BS.

But in both cases, there is no actual thinking involved.

In particular, if the answer produced does not actually solve the problem at hand, there is no "check that my solution works, correct and iterate towards an actually working solution", something most human do very instinctively and naturally.

So, TL;DR: if you are an "expert" in the same way LLMs are "experts", i.e. you just regurgitate knowledge and fudge it to make it look like it makes sense, then YES: you will get replaced, and by the way: thank god for that.

If, on the other hand, you're an actual "expert" in that you are capable of leveraging you vast encyclopedic knowledge of a subject to guide you towards an actual working solution to a problem, then you're very likely safe for quite a while longer.