[Mawr]

The market disagrees with you. How come there are billions of dollars spent on all these knowledge workers around the world every day when they could be replaced by this expert-level AI?

I'm not sure where this idea of LLMs being intelligent even comes from. It took me a whopping 9 prompts (genuine questions, no clever prompt engineering) of interacting with ChatGPT to conclude it does not understand anything. It doesn't understand addition, what length is, doesn't remember what it said a second ago, etc.

The output of ChatGPT is clearly just a reflection of its inner workings - predicting the next word based on training data. It's clever and undoubtely useful for a certain set of repetitive problems like generating boilerplate but it's not intelligence, not by any reasonable definition.

[sebzim4500]

I don't think any technology has been rolled out with the speed you are suggesting LLMs should have been rolled out.

It's like saying 4 months after the first useful car was manufactured. "If these are so good, how come there are still horses? Clearly the market disagrees with you".

[emodendroket]

To give an example of the limitations of these things that's hopefully easy to understand, I got access to Bard this morning and asked it to write a limerick. It gave me what could charitably be called a free verse poem that happened to begin "there once was a man from Nantucket." I'm sure they can improve on it (ChatGPT was better at this kind of thing when I had access to it) but "solved problem" is clearly a long way off.

[hallway_monitor]

Seems Pretty Good to me! Better than I could do anyway. Bard is a joke compared to GPT-4: "Write a limerick about a dog"

  There once was a dog from the pound
  Whose bark had a curious sound
  With a wag and a woof,
  He'd jump on the roof,
  Delighting the folks all around.

[emodendroket]

Yes, much more compelling. But if this were a “solved problem” then any of them should be able to do it easily. It’s not like I need to compare the results of sorting between different programs. It just works. That is a solved problem.

[sebzim4500]

A solved problem means that someone has solved it, not that everyone has.

[emodendroket]

You can use the term to mean whatever you want but in my mind it means it's boring with no particular room for improvement. Even the biggest booster isn't going to say that about this AI. And keep in mind, "write me a limerick" is a pretty easy prompt. We're not trying to do anything too novel or crazy there.

[FeepingCreature]

Yeah, at least two years.