[bstockton]

>4) The basic theory that got us to the current AI crop was defined decades ago and no new workable theories have been put forth that will move us closer to an AGI.

I guess it really depends on what you mean by "basic theory" but my view is that the framework that got us to our current crop of models (vision now too, not just LLMs) is much more recent, namely transformers circa 2017. If you're talking about artificial neural networks, in general, maybe. ANNs are really just another framework for a probabilistic model that is numerically optimized (albeit inspired by biological processes) so I don't know where to draw the line for what defines the basic theory...I hope you don't mean backprop either as the chain rule is pretty old too.