[ModernMech]

> 3 to 4 was enormous... This isn’t about 4. We’re in the iPhone 1 era of LLMs.

GPT3 is great, but I can't reasonably say that 4 is such a huge advance over 3 in my experience so far. Apparently it's better at some things according to the marketing, but for actual usage I can't qualitatively say 4 is an "enormous" advance over 3. It seems to face the same major shortcomings, and it produces qualitatively the same results.

That brings me to the iPhone bit. Yes, the iPhone was a huge advance, but today looking at an iPhone 14, it largely has the same form/function/features as early iPhones. If you looked at the trajectory of iPhones in 2005, you'd conclude that in 2023 they would be 1mm think and transparent with a holodisplay or something. But instead, in the year 2023, my iPhone 14 looks and functions largely like my old iPhone 4. I mean, it does more stuff better, but I'm still using it to browse the net, text, take pictures, and use the maps app -- the same stuff that made the original iPhone revolutionary.