[qwytw]

> almost 1,000%

Well 0.1 -> 1.0 is a 900% increase, want to 1.0 -> 4.0 is "just" 300% so I'm not sure if this is a very good way to measures increases in interest rates...

> regression of interest rates from whenever to now, draw a line that's never violated until

Given the data (https://www.macrotrends.net/2015/fed-funds-rate-historical-c...) I would expected such line to be nearly useless due to a very low R2 (too lazy to actually calculate it...)

But yeah, even back in last March the bond markets were not expecting that the rates will be above 2.75% in 12 months.