[paxys]

> When it happens, every Western company will suddenly have to pull out, just like they did Russia

The PR benefits of pulling out of Russia outweighed the negligible revenues these companies were earning from the country.

Saying goodbye to Taiwanese manufacturing is instead a death sentence for them, and probably for a large chunk of the western economy as a whole. China knows this, and they know how much there is to gain economically by keeping the system running.

So the end result is likely going to be – China pulls off a bloodless coup of Taiwan, and companies continue doing business there as usual.