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Programming jobs will not disappear, but it will not be similar to what programmers of today do on a daily basis. So, I think the significant shift needs to happen in the way we are educating kids about CS fundamentals, Math and Science. As AI systems become more able to generate much code by default, the expectations of the customers will similarly increase. Just remember how much an IDE like Eclipse or IntelliJ changed the productivity of programmers 20 years ago. Similarly, how easy apps were to build when Rails would create a scaffold with a simple command. It only allowed us to build more complex customer experiences in the end. This will continue. Second, there is the need to verify the output from such systems, and also tie them together with other modules. In large enterprises, they would also need to be integrated into existing codebases, often legacy infrastructure. Then comes the implementation of tons of Govt regulations in finance, lending, taxes, medicine, and so on as code. Software has not yet penetrated these verticals as well as they can. In a recent podcast, chamath palihapitiya mentioned that now it is possible for the Dodd-Frank regulations to be in code, versus as a written document. It's a good example. Lastly, there are THOUSANDS of companies with legacy software systems that will still need to be maintained, and transitioned to modern technology stacks and infrastructures. This space will continue to be a major source of employment for programmers for the next few decades. |