[lambdaloop]

As I was told, pretty much any PhD graduate can get a postdoc somewhere. PhD -> postdoc transition is really about whether you want to stay in academia at all. From my rough impressions, maybe about 10% of the grad students I know are thinking of doing a postdoc, which would be 10% * 15% = 1.5% of PhDs making it to faculty. That roughly matches the statistic you have.

I think the 15% of postdocs becoming faculty statistic really sticks with me, because these are already preselected for wanting to become faculty and even within that pool, only 15% can make it. It's quite demoralizing.