Can you explain your thinking? as I find this so far from likely to be true that I can't understand how anyone could believe that.
Example of one calculation method, take the probable incidents, multiply the probability by the negative impact. Likelehood of kid injurying themselves in a physically dangerous area, very very high. Hospitals are full of kids every weekend that injured themselves in their own home, negative injury likely bad bruise or broken arm lasting days to weeks. Online probability of harm = low. Severity of harm most likely = name calling or mental bullying. Bullying impact likely low unless bullies also physically live nearby which then brings it back to in-person harm.
Not the person you are asking, but I can already guess what their reasoning most likely is gonna be.
Get a large sheet of paper and fill it with buzzwords like "tiktok", "groomers", "CRT", "lgbtq propaganda", etc. Throw a few darts at it, and you should get a possible semblence of the reasoning I would expect the grandparent comment user to give you.
I always try to give a poster the most charitable interpretation possible and steelman their argument before even considering making fun of it. But I legitimately struggle to come up with any charitable interpretation of an argument that claims "underage users browsing internet without state-mandated age verification is more dangerous than them working in a meatpacking facility or a slaughterhouse".
That was my point. People would justify the one because it is “dangerous” for more subjective reasons, even though the other actual leads to real physical danger. But you could argue the other danger is more insidious and ultimately would harm more children.
Example of one calculation method, take the probable incidents, multiply the probability by the negative impact. Likelehood of kid injurying themselves in a physically dangerous area, very very high. Hospitals are full of kids every weekend that injured themselves in their own home, negative injury likely bad bruise or broken arm lasting days to weeks. Online probability of harm = low. Severity of harm most likely = name calling or mental bullying. Bullying impact likely low unless bullies also physically live nearby which then brings it back to in-person harm.