[lolinder]

My parent wasn't talking about shuffling money around, they were talking about reading the bank's balance sheet.

$1k gets you several hours of an accountant's time to go through the bank's balance sheet and tell you if their interest rates and other perks are, in fact, too good to be true.

If you want to go the extra mile and try to move money around to keep under the limits, more power to you, but paying someone to occasionally keep an eye on your bank's balance sheet and make sure it's not going to collapse under you is totally within the capabilities of pretty much any company.

[dlubarov]

How could my accountant have known the risks? I don't think there was any public information about SVB's poorly-timed MBS purchases, the main cause of this incident.

[lolinder]

This guy short sold SVB based on their quarterly and annual reports:

https://archive.ph/XaKkt

[youngtaff]

AFAIK it was in SVBk’s Nov 7th public filings

[dlubarov]

I don't think their MBS positions were public until last week. But say we knew earlier, perhaps soon after they purchased the MBSs - wouldn't the result have been similar, just the bank run would have been shifted up a bit?

I.e. having a CFO who's on top of things might mean I'm first in line to get out once there are public red flags, but not everyone can exit an insolvent bank, so the macro result seems similar.

[youngtaff]

> It’s true that investors had been aware at the latest since its 10-Q filing on Nov. 7 that it had sustained unrealized losses among its held-to-maturity (HTM) portfolio large enough to wipe out its entire $15.8 billion in shareholder equity. While this would theoretically render it insolvent were they to materialize in full, SVB Financial was dismissive of the risks.

"SVB collapse highlights $620 billion hole lurking in banks’ balance sheets" -https://archive.is/qnwYh

Also short sellers worked it out a while back

"A Silicon Valley Bank short seller explains how he knew the bank was in trouble months ago" - https://archive.is/XaKkt

[dlubarov]

I stand corrected, though the point remains that if everyone tried to exit once that news came out on Nov 7, we still would have had a bank failure with roughly the same shortfall.

[youngtaff]

> though the point remains that if everyone tried to exit once that news came out on Nov 7, we still would have had a bank failure with roughly the same shortfall.

True, we’d need to look at previous filings to understand when it could have first been worked out

VCs should have kept a closer eye on where their cash was, but perhaps they were too enamoured with the benefits they were getting from SVB