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by xoogler2004 1194 days ago
No. SVB was not a bank for high risk people. They were the 16th largest bank in the United States. They were a regular commercial bank. First Republic, Northern Trust, etc are all very large banks that cater to specific clientele.

It’s not that they catered to high risk clients it’s that they understood that the definition of risk was not universal. What may look risky to Bank of America isn’t actually more risky if you know the nuances of startups.

Or put another way, the odds that a new commercial Bank of America company goes on to become a 10 billion dollar company is probably 1 in a billion. The odds that an SVB customer would go on to become one is probably 1 in a thousand.

But the important thing is that SVB didn’t fail because of bad credit or bad loans - something you’d expect from riskier clients. SVB’s problem was that they had more deposits and cash than they could handle, they literally had too much money and the fed has raised interest rates too fast for them to absorb.

2 comments

> more deposits and cash than they could handle

Do you know why couldn't they handle it? Banks usually have to manage their Credit, Interest Rate, Liquidity, Price, Foreign Exchange, Transaction, Compliance, Strategic and Reputation risk. And then from an investment POV, all investors have to handle portfolio risk. So I wonder whether SVB just wasn't sophisticated enough to handle these risks.

If they're the 16th largest bank in the US, it seems to me that they should have had the chops to "handle" large amounts of cash...

Three things I can see:

1. way more deposits than they historically managed, with no-where good to put it.

2. failure to do what banks do, which is arbitrage their position, putting a huge amount into long-term low interest bonds

3. looking for loopholes in liquidity & stress tests, and reporting exemptions that might have raised earlier alarms

#3 is inexecusable but the other points are in the "bad at your job" category.

It is unclear if any other bank could have handled it either.

It took two factors.

3x the money you manage in 2021 specifically

Have well networked clients that carry out a bank run together.

Their problem was that they tied up too much of their money in illiquid low-yield bonds. Pure mismanagement.
this is the ultimate cause, but they also used loopholes to avoid reporting obligations other banks complete, and did not highlight the liquidity issues or stress-test that say... increased withdrawals might highlight. These aspects should be investigated deeper.
agree. it's always such systemic / procedural lapses that allow problems to go unnoticed