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by manquer
1191 days ago
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It is not just 30% of YC alone.
YC startups tend to be on average more successful than others, so number probably much higher for other startups. Not making payroll is just the first problem. Vendors are the next , many startups provide critical services from healthcare to security to dozen other sectors if they cannot pay for their servers those services will go down too a lot of products such as saas apps , cloud services are sold to startups extensively. If collectively startups stop making payments, those businesses become unsound even big tech like AWS will feel pain and mean layoffs everywhere. Not making payroll for tech and tech adjacent people also means lot of local business will be distressed in those communities think your grocers and barbers etc. |
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So even if it's true that the average return is better, the median return is probably similar or even worse (seems YC can probably afford to take bigger bets than smaller less known funds, resulting in bigger wins as well as more failures- the latter all having a capped downside).
Anyway, maybe I'm wrong, but it's not obvious to me that if you picked 10 yc startups and 10 other vc backed startups, the yc ones would be likely to be in better financial shape, even if the portfolio returns are better