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by somenameforme 1201 days ago
Let's imagine that ChatGPT stayed frozen in its current state of functionality, but was otherwise completely available for use. What would you see being realistically different in the average person's life ten years from now?
3 comments

That’s a moot question because it will continue to evolve, and while its successor will inevitably dwarf its capabilities, it will be remembered as an early influence and historically significant innovation.

If it was frozen in current state, however, it would still be a springboard for innovation because businesses will find new ways to integrate it with their products and compose its functionality with other code and itself. It’s impossible to imagine the kinds of influence these products will have because progress will be following the exponential part of an S curve for some time to come.

Finally, even if in this artificially constrained world of our imagination we don’t allow for third party products that use it as a platform, it will completely upend the way business is done, on a 10 year timescale, just as search engines have before it.

1. Lots more communication because it lowers the barrier to composing simple, effective messages. “Write a polite complaint letter to my gym asking them to play music other than Prince” changes the ROI on casual notes.

2. Much, much easier for non-native speakers to ensure writing is grammatically and tonally correct.

3. Huge reduction in make-work exercises where the idea is to just soak up an hour of someone’s time to validate they have some understanding of a topic.

I use it to make all business correspondence more politically correct.