[paxys]

While I agree with your premise, the "toil" that you mention is a very small use case for a tiny minority of people. And automating it away has always been trivial. What would have taken 30 minutes to write a Python script now takes 5 minutes to come up with the perfect prompt. And then you have to test and be sure that it does what you want. Neat, but not world-changing.

Meanwhile ChatGPT is already being hailed as the Google killer. People are using it to write essays and form opinions. Plenty of online and offline debates contains phrases from ChatGPT repeated verbatim. It's being adopted in newsrooms around the world. So what it is good for in theory and what people are actually using it for are worlds apart. IMO the technology is going to have its "self driving car kills pedestrian" moment very soon because of over-eager and careless users, and that is going to set the entire field back.

[turtlebits]

I disagree. Toil is part of everyone’s job and what creates procrastinators. I used it recently to help me write a browser extension, where I find writing vanilla js and xpath expressions very tedious (just a bunch of syntax lookup) and would not have even bothered in the first place.

If you approach it with the right mindset, it’s extremely valuable.

[SamPatt]

Increasing software development speed 6x would be fairly world changing already, wouldn't it?

Add in all the automation of customer service via actually good Chatbots and lots of very cheap (and fairly high quality) copywriting and it seems world changing to me.

[vkou]

> Meanwhile ChatGPT is already being hailed as the Google killer.

The only Google-killing aspect of it is a better understanding of user queries.

Although given how often I have to remind it of the details of my questions, maybe it's not even good at that.

[fock]

Given it has probably "hardcoded" a lot of questions by the usage of "finetuning" via RL, probably the latter statement is true. Also it has one way only to understand your query. If that way is wrong: welcome synonyms replaced by the tokenizer, welcome hallucinations by raising the temperature. Or you can introduce "context" (8000 tokens) or retrain.

[hungryforcodes]

> ...a better understanding of user queries.

No, lack of ads. Before content marketing, Google was pretty useful

[vkou]

How do you think it's going to be monetized, if not by ads?

[hungryforcodes]

In what sense? Google has many revenue streams -- the year is 2023, not 1997. Just HAVING the number one search engine without ad revenues brings mind share, intelligence on trends, what people are searching for, advanced notice on possible disasters...the list is endless.