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by red_admiral 1199 days ago
I'm going with "neither".

It's true that Snowden revealed the NSA had their fingers in NIST's cryptographic standards team, with Dual-EC a specific example that is considered suspicious since the revelations. So a suspicion of malice is not completely unfounded, but as far as I can tell, this code was written by the Keccak team not NIST itself, and for any claim of "they're NSA stooges", I would need evidence.

It also seems to me that the Keccak team are not stupid people. That leaves "honest mistake" as the most likely explanation.

There are lots of studies on human behaviour that show a competent and diligent human will mess up every Nth time they perform a routine task; some forms of probabilistic risk analysis take N = 10^3 as a lower bound for this.

There is a long history of railroad operation in the UK (who invented the steam train after all) where occasionally, a signaller would send an express onto a line where they'd forgotten that the local was standing, or two trains head-on down a single line in opposite directions. This led to the development of interlockings and token working systems as technological solutions to mitigate the risks of human error, and later on to today's computerised safety systems, because signallers are (almost always) neither stupid nor malicious, but still human. The same can be said for programmers.

(As I understand, the recent train disaster in Greece was on a line where there should have been interlocking in place, but it wasn't active.)