[czbond]

Counter argument:

Law AI will be used for case defense prep, argument creation, research, analysis (essentially what law graduates and non-partner style attorneys do) as cost savings / ROI enhancement. Attorneys will have to specialize in mostly customer facing / court facing roles. This will cut the staff needed to perform those duties.

Real Law AI change will have to be consumer driven.

Medical AI.... with so much malpractice & liability, AI will reduce those risks for practicioners, increase ROI to practiciioners (less payments to insurance), and also require back office practicioners to become more customer facing. Maybe instead of 10 radiologists, you can use 1.

Medical AI will be used on low tier ailments (eg: urgent care headaches, etc) to help nurses see more cases, etc - initially replacing the low end work. Doctors can then have a more normal schedule, but feed a collective AI model to where 1 doctor can then oversee 50...200 cases. Those models will first be rolled out to developing countries until a generation of doctors in the US are dwindled except in emergency care situations.

[lotsofpulp]

That is how it is already going with physician assistants and nurse practitioners, as I understand. Instead of 1 doctor seeing 20 patients in a day, 1 doctor “oversees” a bunch of PA/NP each seeing 20 patients in a day.

[pcthrowaway]

We do still have massive doctor shortages though (at least here in Canada) so I wouldn't worry about doctors not having jobs any time soon

It's gotten pretty ugly with provinces trying to poach doctors from other provinces, competing with each other to offer incentives to entice doctors from other provinces