[matsemann]

Thousands are dying directly from car usage ("accidents"). A lot more indirectly from being sedentary, and lots of shortened life spans due to the pollution.

So it's not even comparable. It's probably multiple orders of magnitude better on a societal level to be biking. Even better if we got rid of the cars causing the cyclists to be killed.

[toast0]

There were apparently 454 non-traffic bicycle deaths in 2020[1], compared to 38,824 traffic deaths reported by NHTSA in 2020 [2]. I don't feel like bicycles are doing 1% of the trips in the US, even though they're more than 1% of the deaths. I feel like non-traffic death eliminates car vs bike deaths, but captures the basic idea that bicycles are more immediately risky.

All sorts of terrain issues that are minor for a car are dangerous for a bicycle, especially at higher speeds. Where I live, it's very hilly, so it's hard to go anywhere on a bike without hitting speeds of at least 25 mph at some point on the journey. Mechanical issues, unexpected objects in the road, or errors in piloting at that speed will result in an injury for sure.

[1] https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/home-and-community/safety-topics...

[2] https://www.nhtsa.gov/press-releases/2020-traffic-crash-data...

[toast0]

Found some data on person trips by transportation mode [1] and person miles by transportation mode [2]. Based on that, about 75% of miles are done with car/truck/suv/van, and 0.2% with bicycles; but trips are more balanced, 80% by car/truck/suv/van and 1% by bike.

So I think the fatality rate per trip is probably about the same for bike vs car/etc; but the rate per mile for bikes is significantly higher. It'd be interesting to look at comparable rates from say the Netherlands or another country where bicycling is better positioned.

[1] https://nhts.ornl.gov/person-trips [2] https://nhts.ornl.gov/person-miles