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by thamer 1213 days ago
One argument against the cross-species transmission theory is that Chinese horseshoe bats (the reservoir for SARS and possibly SARS-CoV-2) don't really live in Wuhan. They live mainly in the south of China, see for example this map[1] from the paper "Bat Coronaviruses in China"[2]. This is where SARS was found in the wild, and where it first emerged as an epidemic[3].

It's not impossible that it would emerge in bats in Wuhan and spread to animals and then humans from there, just not very likely. Of course we know very little about the start of this pandemic so it's possible that an animal was infected in the south and transported to Wuhan, but that would mean that it happened without producing cases along the way.

[1] https://www.mdpi.com/viruses/viruses-11-00210/article_deploy...

[2] https://doi.org/10.3390/v11030210

[3] https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1118391

1 comments

They absolutely live in Wuhan, or at very least, 60 miles away from Wuhan.

https://www.sixthtone.com/news/1002326/how-chinas-bat-caves-...

We have a huge sampling error problem since SARS clearly came from Yunnan, so much of the research and characterization focus has been in the South -- but bats and bat coronaviruses are endemic to all of China. Hence the caution on relying on this type of thought-process to make sweeping conclusions.

E.g, just "ctrl+F" for Hubei in this paper: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7106260/pdf/mai...