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by kkielhofner
1215 days ago
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I see and hear this a lot (and the data clearly backs up your numbers) but what I can't figure out is - billions of dollars in transactions per day for what realized real-world value, exactly? A billion dollars in fees for what utility? With > 5 billion internet users as a TAM overall adoption for crypto other than trading on exchanges (which is almost completely off chain and essentially has nothing to do with blockchain, really) is miniscule. Every block explorer, DappRadar, MetaMask stats, etc - literally any data shows completely insignificant user adoption (active addresses, number of transactions, etc) when compared to the billions of users that could become blockchain users by installing a piece of software in a few clicks. I know it sounds like I dismiss it completely but I've been active in this space for the better part of a decade and I still can't figure out where the use case is -or- better yet, the killer app that would lead to user adoption resembling anything even close to the web in the 90s. It's been 8-15 years (depending on your starting line). Where is it? Where are the millions (really should be billions by now) of Joe Everyone daily active users? Absent anything approaching a semblance of widespread adoption (from the data I referenced) the cynic in me says most of the "value" you reference is overwhelmingly from wash trading and a lot of other unproductive activity with no value or utility other than whatever angle those actors have. |
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The 'real world' stuff naturally happens in the real world, and not on chain. An example - last year I used a lending app to cover some of my taxes for a few months. I deposited asset X that I didn't want to sell at the time, borrowed their bespoke stable coin against it, swapped that for USDC, withdrew the USDC to coinbase, swapped it to USD and put it in my bank account to pay my taxes. When I could pay it back, I basically did the reverse. And at the end of the day because the lending application was offering 'borrow incentives' with their governance token, I ended up slightly ahead in after paying their repayment fee and gas fees. And all this was done with only substantial human counterparty risk when it came to interacting with coinbase. I found that useful and certianly helpful to me in a real world way. But if you only looked on chain it would not look like anything in the real world was happening at all and just lots of virtual bits moving around.