[DarkContinent]

Is there someone on HN who can speak to how fast gene editing technology is improving? I was a bit skeptical of the author's claim that construction of a mammoth genome would require 5000 years, but I couldn't find any information in a cursory search on what the technology improvement speed is.

[Robotbeat]

Well it used to take ~infinity years as the technique didn’t exist to do it at all.

Claims like “it’ll take 5000 years” are always funny because they’re so incredibly status quo biased, without the least bit of self consciousness of how remarkable the progress has been in the last 50 years on things like this.

Humans overestimate progress in the near term and underestimate progress in the long term.