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by s1artibartfast
1218 days ago
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thanks for trying to help, but I feed like you just described normal investment. Does Excess liquidity "move" any different than normal liquidity? My understanding is that the difference is that excess liquidity is excessive because it it is greater than available positive growth investments to lock it up. Maybe you are right and the movement from sector to sector is simply herd mentality and trend following, but I would intuitively expect that process to reach equilibrium faster |
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As an example - consider the sale of an owned house, where the buyer takes out a mortgage. The owner who sold now has cash, and the buyer has a liability (mortgage), meaning he has need for cash in the future. This type of mismatch can create excess liquidity (now, at the sale point), and the cash keeps moving until someone who needs to pay off a loan acquires it (cash gets "destroyed" when paying off asset-backed loans from the bank). In the meantime, that cash can go towards bidding up financial assets (until it finds the marginal need to service debt obligations)
This comment is the best explanation: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34858813
Also this article could be helpful: https://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/08/the-great-rot...