[b34r]

We’re in the Singularity even right now and most of the world doesn’t know it.

[Nevermark]

We don’t have millions of flying cars yet!

Most of what we have today was predicted in science fiction novels and video many decades ago.

Even the causes of a singularity were predicted (since they are what created the prediction of a singularity). I.e. AI, quantum computing, etc.

The “real” singularity happens at the point in the future where we have no conception what is going to happen next.

So the singularity stays in front of us, but gets closer and closer.

Then, at some point, change happens faster than humans can track or understand.

We are not there yet.

[b34r]

It’s an S curve of which we are in the early ramping phase. ML is going to change everything

[Nevermark]

I can agree with the singularity being a continuous transition in time and across people.

The future is becoming less predictable for all of us.

And the fraction of us that study, drive or otherwise understand the biggest changes at any given date are getting fewer.

But it is happening as an exponential toward a critical value. Not an S-shaped curve as there won't be any slowing down.

[b34r]

I see the top asymptotic part of the curve being an Iain Banksian “Culture”. Very very far off, but at a certain point, maybe Kardashev II-III, there will be a gradual plateau.