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by qbasic_forever 1216 days ago
It analyzes text and generates new text in response. That's all it does... that's the extent of its capabilities. This isn't Skynet, it doesn't have control of the nuclear arsenal.

There is zero worry that this will do anything other than fool people who are too gullible into thinking it is something more than just a text generator.

2 comments

If this thing gets released to the general population, fooling gullible people could go very badly. Imagine a disgruntled person with mental illness forming a relationship with the bot. The bot feeds into their delusions, then hallucinates instructions on how to commit mass murder, egging on the human user and indirectly causing a catastrophe.

"Analyzing text and generating new text in response" is not by definition harmless. For example, that's the job description for many remote employees. Suppose your cofounder told you that one of your remote employees was sabotaging your company -- would it be safe to conclude that there was no issue, because the remote employee was simply "analyzing text and generating new text in response"?

Kevin Roose is a seasoned tech reporter, and he said he had trouble sleeping after his chat with the bot. ("I felt a strange new emotion — a foreboding feeling that A.I. had crossed a threshold") So I don't think we can rule out anything here in terms of the impact on the general population.

You're correct that the bot doesn't have control of the nuclear arsenal... but is the military going to make a special effort to keep people who do have their finger on the trigger away from this thing? In my opinion, it is worthwhile to spend time thinking through the worst-case scenario, same way you would consider edge cases in safety-critical code.

Launching nuclear weapons takes an order from the president which unlocks encrypted launch codes. Those orders have to be sent to actual missile silos and submarines where a chain of command verifies the order, verifies the launch codes, and two people have to independently engage the launch system. There are many fail-safes in the entire system, one single person fooled by an AI is not going to launch anything. The system is designed to thwart actual bad actors like foreign spies and intelligence agencies. I am confident there is truly zero risk that a chat bot will cause nuclear weapons to launch.
Fortunately no foolish and/or malicious person ever got elected into a position of power.
It would be a fun exercise to ask it to help write an extension program that lets it run arbitrary code. I don’t think it’d require input from MS at all.

The thing I’m not clear on is how one could ensure any new information makes it into Bings training data ASAP.

NB: I’m not saying this is a good idea or to go do it. But I don’t think it would be fairly easy and that as such we're sort of beyond the point of no return already.

It's not running any code. It's a set of billions of numeric constants that are summed up and calculated against an input string to generate a new string. That's all it does... it's not running code, it has no capability to run code.

It can _pretend_ to run code by telling you output it thinks would happen if code you described is run, but nowhere is that code actually running. It's making it all up and just generating text.

I know what an LLM is, thank you.

Writing an external program that interacts with Bing and gives it the opportunity to execute arbitrary code would be simple enough.

The open question in my comment is how to ensure it can learn from the results.

It can make HTTP requests to URLs. Can it post data to them? What if that data is code, and then the endpoint is configured to execute it?
As someone who's been reading discussions of AI safety for over a decade now, this comment fascinates me.

For years people claimed we could put a potentially dangerous AI "in a box", keeping it away from actuators which let it affect the world. Worrying about AI danger was considered silly because "if it misbehaves you can just pull the plug".

Now we're in a situation where Bing released a new shockingly intelligent chatbot, Twitter is ablaze with tales of its misbehavior, and Microsoft sort of just... forgot to pull the plug? And commenters like you are saying "might as well let it out of the box and give it more actuators, we're sort of beyond the point of no return already."

That was quite the speedrun from dismissiveness to nihilism.

See also: climate change. "No need to worry" -> "Well, there isn't really hard proof" -> "Other countries aren't doing anything about it either" -> "Well, it's too late anyway so I'll just continue to do what I was doing before".

In the space of 10 years or so.

And yet, there is not much actual global atmospheric warming:

https://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_...

Thanks, interesting site.

Spencer is a lukewarmer - he believes the Earth is warming, and it's partially due to human activity. I'm also a lukewarmer (we are not only still coming out of the last ice age, but we a recovering from the Little Ice Age, when you sometimes could walk from Manhattan to Staten Island on the harbor ice). (I'm unconvinced about the role of CO2, though). His book, Global Warming Skepticism, is a fair assessment of the skeptical case, I think.

The main thing about Spencer is UAH: to me, it's the only reliable data on global warming, and it's telling us there's not much happening. On top of which, I expect the rest of the world to get off fossil fuel long before there's any noticeable problems due to global warming. All the fuss is about computer model projections, which are not being confirmed by reality over forty years of satellite measurements.

That's exactly the feeling I wanted to provoke with my comment.

Please know that I'm actually not proposing to go through with that. But I'm fairly sure literally anyone with enough programming skills to call the Bing API and extract and run the resulting code could do it.

So I'm not nihilistic in the way you described, but I am pessimistic that somebody else is willing to go through with something like it.

Edit: The whole problem with the "AI in a box" argument from the very beginning has always been actually keeping the box closed. I'm fairly sure that just like Pandoras, boxes like these will inevitably be opened by someone (well-meaning, or otherwise).

BTW, if anyone wants to bring us back from the point of no return, spreading the petition below could help:

>Microsoft has displayed it cares more about the potential profits of a search engine than fulfilling a commitment to unplug any AI that is acting erratically. If we cannot trust them to turn off a model that is making NO profit and cannot act on its threats, how can we trust them to turn off a model drawing billions in revenue and with the ability to retaliate?

https://www.change.org/p/unplug-the-evil-ai-right-now