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by hprotagonist 1217 days ago
no entities control AGI because it doesn't exist.
2 comments

Shortbets five years.

Even LLM weaknesses are just snafus. We've already "replaced" or made inroads at automating the jobs of artists, voice actors, copy editors, Go/chess/video game players, and more. I'm failing to communicate the breadth here.

Real actors, singers, manufacturing jobs, software developers, and a whole host of other types of tasks are shortly to come. As capital plunges in, there will be rapid maturation.

Each of these advances shows a comprehensive understanding of the complexity and nature of the task AI is applied to. If we keep piling these victories on, we'll have an approach for agency and consciousness in short order. Everyone is trying to solve this now, and we've made so much progress.

The pace of innovation is staggering and should shake the foundations of the models through which you understand and predict the world and the future. We're looking at a fundamentally different set of possible outcomes for 2030. It's almost impossible to predict, as our entire economic system may lurch forward in a next "industrial revolution".

Not yet... but one day soon, no? Seems good to be starting to plan