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by AgentK20
1220 days ago
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Always happy to see further development in the field of battery chemistry, but I temper my expectations with the realities of both cost and difficulty to mass produce. More investment and breakthroughs are good, and they push the industry forward, but keep in mind that most people (myself included) would rather a cheaper EV that takes twice as long to charge than vice versa (assuming a base capacity that is enough for all but roadtrips). The article does point out though that short-duration battery-powered flights may be a perfect application for a more pricey but higher-density battery. |
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This is a good instinct but, FWIW, I'm think there's a good chance we're going to see scale-up costs drop by about an order of magnitude over the next 5 years via fairly straightforward use of ML to reduce on scaleup test iterations. (For readers without context: to scale up battery production you start by making a few grams of materials in a lab, then a few kilograms, then a few tons. At each step there are failures and you have to iterate on production parameters, testing can take a long time as well. Sometimes the whole effort fails). At my last job we worked on this and saw good results, but productionizing them was a ways off.