[oneoff786]

Rebuttal

https://aninjusticemag.com/are-50-of-trans-women-in-prison-s...

Largely the point being that this sample would only include prisoners with serious long punishment crimes, like sex crimes. It’s hardly a random sample.

Probability of sex crime given you’re in prison for a serious crime is not a reliable indicator of baseline probability of a sex crime.

[xcxs]

That's a weak rebuttal, it relies on the claim that there could be hundreds upon hundreds of trans-identifying males imprisoned that no-one knows about.

Also see this: https://wingsoverscotland.com/the-rorschach-test/

It explains how additional data including from later years, and from New Zealand, supports the observation that these men are more likely to be in prison for sex crimes than men in general, and much, much more likely than actual women.

[oneoff786]

It’s a strong rebuttal because this is not a random sample. It tells you nothing. These are not credible interpretations of data.