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by pcraig3
1230 days ago
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> How often do they correctly predict the weather? I mentioned this in another comment, but accuracy data is basically impossible to get. You have to get weather data year by year for different regions of the country and then compare them to historical ranges. Means a pretty huge amount of trawling through data, not a lot of payoff. > Also how often did their right or wrong predictions contradict the majority? This one, you can get a little more easily. Check out the predictions page to see them grouped by year: https://groundhog-day.com/predictions If you are looking up a specific groundhog, you can see how often they align/differ from the plurality. |
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https://www.noaa.gov/stories/everyones-favorite-groundhog-pr...
40% accurate, so you're better off inverting Phil's prediction, but not by much.