Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by murat124 1230 days ago
The issue with the nuclear power is the nuclear warhead. Mankind would be perfectly fine with nuclear power but will always be at risk as long as it is weaponized. Some folks being fatally radiated does not impose risk to our kind.
2 comments

I'd argue that nuclear warheads have saved millions of lives by preventing another world war. MAD prevents nuclear weapons states from waging war against each other directly.
You realise of course that in the alternative universe in which this was not the case, you'd be unable to make this statement.

That is generalisable to all global catastrophic risk: by virtue of the fact that they can occur once, and once only, means that we're effectively living in the survivorship-bias universe in which they did not occur.

That thought's only recently occurred to me, though Richard Posner wrote of it.

<https://toot.cat/@dredmorbius/109712403433781694>

By definition, all but the last doomsday prediction is false. Yet it does not follow, as many seem to think, that all doomsday predictions must be false; what follow is only that all such predictions but one are false.

-Richard A. Posner, Catastrophe: Risk and Response, p. 13.

<https://archive.org/details/catastropheriskr00posn/page/13/m...>

But then people don't know a thing about isotopes, fertile and fissile nuclei, or what actually goes into a bomb. The reactors that produced the plutonium used in warheads largely came from specialised reactors designed for this purpose only. You cannot get the same stuff out of civilian reactors.