[account42]

There is no reason to believe that it won't. Even after 28 years, there could be improvements merged for the compressor. Or perhaps especially after 28 years - we have a lot more memory now but it is slower when compared to our CPUs than it used to be so there is most likely room for tuning. Similar for patches that make use of newer CPU instructions - why would you expect them to take care to produce the exact same output rather than just the best compression possible for a perf budget.

[ihattendorf]

That's the whole point, it wasn't an enforced contract but just happened to not change in a long time so it was assumed to be part of the contract. The majority of users don't know how exactly GitHub is serving these archives, they just assume (incorrectly, but reasonably) if they download from this URL they'll always get the same archive bit for bit. That assumption has grown stronger and stronger over time the longer they remained the same, until today.