[Our_Benefactors]

I’ll take this 10 year bet. You really think nvidia is just gonna stop releasing new revisions? “Moores law is dead” is way over-memed, it’s more of an axiom about how computers continually improve than really being about transistor count at this point.

[andromeduck]

Moore's law and more importantly dennard scaling both died in the mid 2000s. Nvidia is in fact successful because of the end of dennard scaling and the shudts do more mission specialized silicon like TPUs, and codec accelerators, inference engines are also a consequence of that.

Nvidia's performance gains in recent years has been about scaling chip size and making more efficient use of each transistor both in terms of power and count than anything else. A large part of that is minimizing how far data physically moves for any given workloads via stuff like HBM, memory compression, and smarter/larger caches.

In fact, Nvidia doesn't even really try to be on the bleeding edge nodes anymore because per transistor costs has been trending up or level on bleeding edge nodes for at least 5 years now.