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by alexchamberlain 5269 days ago
You could argue about the value and market price.

In the same way that a liquid betting market, the price is a reasonable estimate for probability, in a any liquid market, the price is a reasonable estimate of value.

2 comments

> in a any liquid market, the price is a reasonable estimate of value.

Is it not a tautology? Is there a definition of value that is substantially different from "the equilibrium price in a perfect market"?

I'm not sure myself, but is a perfect market the same as a liquid market? Don't you need complete price transparency for that?
Define "liquid market".
For example, the market for apples (the fruit) is liquid, but the market for Van Gogh's paintings is not.