[calacatta]

^^ POTD. Roughly 50% of all US dollars in circulation were printed in 2020 and 2021 -- the status quo became simply unsustainable. On top of that add Baby Boomer retirement capital going low-risk (i.e. out of tech).

On top of the end of cheap money, add increased operating cost due to Baby Boomers leaving the work force (~400k net loss of workers), passed-down costs of reshoring supply chains, and a burgeoning energy crunch due to the war in Eurasia.

Roughly speaking, "tech" investments are riding the tip of the bullwhip here. I expect that not-yet-profitable startups are the most vulnerable, but the sea change pervades anywhere that 2023 dollars are being spent chasing payoffs that are "many" years out and even mildly at risk.