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by microprediction
1248 days ago
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As of today I have permission to make public my somewhat mischievous entry in the year-long world-wide stock and ETF forecasting contest … the sixth major M-competition in a storied history stretching back to 1982. The intent of my entry was to turn the contest from a “model versus model” into a “market versus model” battle. Or if you like, a battle between the contest community and the community of a different kind that makes options markets efficient. You can call this contest highjacking if you want, or just “exogenous data”. |
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