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by fexecve 1252 days ago
Now remove lung cancer and see if the numbers have changed that much.
2 comments

Out of curiosity, I chose one cancer from the article: breast cancer. Deaths declined from a peak of 33 to 19.1 per 100k women, whereas smoking only seems to increase your risk modestly: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5698948/

> The HR (reference group was never smokers) was 1.14 (95% CI 1.03–1.25; P = 0.010) for ever smokers, 1.24 (95% CI 1.08–1.43; P = 0.002) for starting smoking at ages < 17 years, and 1.23 (1.07–1.41; P = 0.004) for starting smoking 1–4 years after menarche.

However smoking rates have gone down massively since the '50s:

https://news.gallup.com/poll/237908/smoking-rate-hits-new-lo...

https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Trends-in-the-prevalence...

Also something that absolutely does seem to raise your risk of breast cancer is chest x-rays:

https://breast-cancer-research.biomedcentral.com/articles/10...

> Ever/never chest X-ray exposure increases BC risk 2-fold regardless of age at first exposure and, by up to 5-fold when carrying 3 or more rare variants in a DNA repair gene.

Digital x-rays have largely replaced film, and they can reduce radiation exposure by 80-90%.

So I'm not sure one way or the other.

Because of smoking?
Yes. As well as asbestos and occupational exposure to inhaled particles.
Also radon remediation has become more prevalent