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by forgetfulness 1260 days ago
Hard to tell, other knowledge workers and people in creative industries were already squeezed, designers for instance have had a tough time for a very long time. Will things change, politically, because now marketers and Software developers join those ranks, for instance?

Programming was an outlet, if not a gold rush, for many people as the basic technical skills to create Software with the already sophisticated tooling available today presented an economic opportunity, but if "describe your problem, get crappy app" becomes viable, it may squeeze the market for junior developers.

For as long as it has existed, Software has been subject to the Jevons Paradox [1], and every advancement in making its development cheaper and its supply more abundant has only made it so more activities become powered by Software and Software developers, but it's hard to tell how this will impact the job market, especially if Software was absorbing people who didn't find more opportunities in the broader service sector.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

1 comments

Yeah, well, and even looking to the immediate subject of the article... like, whether your lawyer is going to become a bot in ten years, a huge amount of what used to be part of the legal practice has already been automated away in terms of the research side, nevermind specialized firms that just crank through bog-standard family-law or property-transfer cases by plugging the relevant details into an Excel template.

Basically it's the same story as everywhere else, where technological augmentation has already created a huge squeeze, and now suddenly even the senior people are wondering if the writing is on the wall for them too.