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by ok123456 1260 days ago
Most people's reasoning ability functions at this level.
3 comments

I would argue that it does not matter. The AI could even be "smarter" on pure IQ/reasoning, but in terms of practical reasoning that humans need that depends on exposure to real world, the AIs will still take decades to catch up.

The radiology AIs are technically more accurate than radiologists on any sufficiently large dataset, and yet they still have not replaced radiologists (or even are anywhere close to).

There’s an interesting sideroad here: A lot of medical jobs are there because of legal culpability: If someone fails the blame can be placed on them and not on the hospital who hired them. It might be a long time before they get to have that same protection with AI (probably miles and miles of contracts negotiated with a 3rd party who owns and operates the AI that’s used).
And in fact we want them to act outside a professional capacity in which they will be dangerous liabilities. ...Is not this piece about "Bar Exams"?
Which should be worrying. It's also why most people don't pass (nor try) the bar exam.
But let's be real. You can pass the bar exam with a lot of studying and memorizing (and many people do just that). A better test for whether the AI can do reasoning is some sort of puzzle which requires a creative solution.
Not really, this demonstrated how bar exam don't require a large amount of reasoning, but lots of recitations.

Humans are bad at reciting things, but a lot better (compared to GPT) at reasoning.