[pyb]

Sounds like they didn't have access to GPT-4, but "Based on anecdotal evidence"... they still predict this.

[minimaxir]

For some reason, there's a thought-leader sect of Twitter talking about how good GPT-4 is, despite OpenAI having provided zero hints of what GPT-4 could entail or be differentiated from GPT-3/chatGPT.

[naillo]

Source: "I have a hunch"

[danenania]

My knee always gets achey right before a technological singularity hits.

[swyx]

yeah this is really low quality for HN. source is basically "trust me i heard a guy who knows a guy"

[munchler]

They’re extrapolating from the performance of GPT-3.5. It’s speculative, but not anecdotal. GPT has improved rapidly over time, so it's not a huge leap to predict that GPT-4 will be even better.

[booleandilemma]

Sounds like they're writing science fiction then.

[michpoch]

Maybe they asked chatGPT.