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by eatmyshorts 1276 days ago
I have one about ChatGPT. ChatGPT ends up not being useful as a replacement for junior software developers. But ChatGPT does end up taking over middle management. It is more reliable, with better results than humans, at getting software updates from developers and communicating them with coherence to upper managers. Someone will use it to develop an Agile ChatGPT, then another with a Scrum ChatGPT, and then a third, initially a joke, but later accepted as the preferred one, the Waterfall ChatGPT.
1 comments

Very good. I made a similar prediction years ago, yours is better.

I predict middle managers will rush to use one of these offerings, initially fantasizing about reduced dependency on supervising junior staff. I expect this to be boringly controversial, as some workplaces embrace it and in others, managers rely on it in secret. Retaining the vestigial office of scrum master or agile poobah will be a corporate status symbol to signal safety to VC.

On the top floor, AI systems styled to emit the messaging and maneuvering of, say, your company’s very own Elon Musk cutout, will be a useful fad for predicting political fallout. I predict AI will not compete with strong cultural networking among the kind of people who report to boards.

I expect stories will emerge where certain roles simply stand out as more committed to tending internally-important AI systems and services. For example, resume-vetting cutely predicts the kinds of applicants skilled in tending itself.