[JumpinJack_Cash]

I mean a real market where people bet on the effects of inflation on assets.

I am intrigued by Kalshi but very few people are interested in betting on stuff for stuff sake.

Most money is exchanged on markets where people bet on the world’s reaction to such events and the impact on asset prices or yields

[klipt]

Also stocks are expected to have positive return on average over long time periods.

Prediction markets are expected to have negative return on average once the house takes a cut.