[datalopers]

Week1 sales is a decent predictor [1] of Year1 revenue. They'll probably do about 1M unit sales by Christmas 2023.

[1] https://newsletter.gamediscover.co/p/steam-the-state-of-long...

[glandium]

DF is quite special though. It has existed for two decades before being for sale on Steam. It's also a very niche-y game. I don't think normal rules apply to it. I'm afraid sales are going to drop much quicker than predictions say.