[muglug]

In a 5-10 years, generally-available tools resembling ChatGPT will be able to do about 90% of what a programmer does, but the remaining 10% will remain AI-complete.

The AI-complete bit is stuff like reading a set of instructions and realising that one of the instructions doesn't make sense given the other ones, and pushing back. It's looking through an UPDGRADING.md file to see how an API changed, realising that the thing you want isn't there, then looking at the actual source-code of a library to understand an undocumented breaking change. It's understanding how to write a program such that it's easy to parallelise in the future.