[djtango]

In another life, I designed workflows that could be picked up by offshore teams to execute the actual work.

My observation was that a lot of my colleagues had no appetite for reasoning about processes, much less thinking through various edge cases to make sure the work was done correctly and covered enough cases to be a useful workflow with low incidents.

Colour me skeptical but I'm not convinced we will see an AGI that can solve business problems without killing the proverbial cat without lots of baby sitting.

So is programming the business of copy pasting from stackoverflow or is it the business of solving problems?

[tekknik]

> So is programming the business of copy pasting from stackoverflow or is it the business of solving problems?

Both, but what you’ve missed is you’re still putting some devs out of work. And solving business problems is absolutely on the burner for AI right now so give them a few years and it will solve that too.

[djtango]

I remain unconvinced, there's a huge swathe of legacy industries that the pandemic showed up for being woefully stuck in the past - with "digitalisation" being a buzzwords thrown around during 2020-2021 for older industries that thought working in the 21st century entailed emailing CSVs to each other, working on physical desktops.

I don't think these types of slow moving companies will be the ones to leap frog by jumping all in on AI, moreover I believe the TAM for software development is still growing strongly, AND I'm actually quite interested what happens to the nature of work 10-20 years down the line when most of today's kids who will be able to sort of code and become hybrid workers (to how traders went from shouting in a floor to being quite numeric, or accountants went from physical books to excel).

Tldr my bet is that AI might displace labour but not lead to a net reduction of software labour demand in the next 10-20 years at least