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by ZiiS 1288 days ago
As with all new technology it will change the jobs we do and how we do them. AI seems likely to have a large impact on jobs heavily involving communicating with computers. However is it likely that less people will be communicating with computers as a result; I would say no. Did the shovel make it less likely you would employ someone to dig?
1 comments

> Did the shovel make it less likely you would employ someone to dig?

That's a limited analogy.

If you replace shovel with robotic excavator, it gets closer to what we have with current AI. It's not replacing jobs _yet_, but as soon as those excavators become fully automated, a single worker will be able to do the job of dozens, at a fraction of the time and cost.

And, yes, AI-powered excavators are a thing[1].

A closer analogy would be the trucking industry. Truckers are losing jobs _today_ as self-driving technology improves.

The same will eventually happen with software. Programmers will still be needed to drive the AI, but the productivity of one will be greatly increased, and human teams will be much smaller. Programmers won't be needed for simple tasks at first, until eventually only "prompt engineers" are left.

So I wouldn't say this is an existential risk yet, but our field will radically change within the next decade.

[1]: https://asirobots.com/mining/excavator/