[greggarious]

Someone told me in a bar on K Street the thing Vladimir Putin fears most is being hung from a gas station like Mussolinu, and I suspect that goes for all totalitarians.

What scares me is I've met people like that at home in the USA.

There is a quote by a KGB defector which I lost the cite for.

"There is nowhere to defect to."

They can live in luxury, but you cannot buy respect.

Folks are allowed to show you, in small ways that you are forever unwelcome in civil society. They should do exactly that to folks who think they can try to get on a helicopter with a laptop bag full of egold like cyberpunk Ceaușescus that at best we will count the days until we can cheer their deaths if we cannot do the needful ourselves due to laws or norms.

[kevinmrose]

Here's the KGB defector's interview you're talking about, his name was Yuri Bezmenov.

https://youtu.be/yErKTVdETpw?t=4624

[greggarious]

Thanks I'll bookmark it.

[EGreg]

I think the only Russian leader who ever left and lived abroad was Gorbachev.

Even Navalny came back to face the music, and he wasnt even president (yet?)

I do not believe they are self serving at the expense of their country and will live in a bunker while their countrymen are bombed. They all thought and think they were doing the right thing for their country. Even Yeltsin, when he did in 1993 what essentially the Peruvian guy is doing now — trying to dissolve parliament in a constitutional crisis, in order to perpetuate the “shock therapy” of privatizing everything to oligarchs while people started to starve.

I an sure even Stalin thought he was modernizing the country, just as Mao later did, while people were starving.

The problem isn’t that they are self serving kleptocrats. Stalin owned one suit I think, and personally was poor.

Just because they love their country and think they’re helping it, doesn’t make it true that they’re helping people though. I am sure George W Bush loved USA and wanted the best for it when he invaded Iraq. As libertarians we question the basic “patriotic common wisdom” of how things are set up in the first place.

[throwaway290]

Hordes of them around the revolution. After there was never a serious change of power.

[EGreg]

Well yes, after the Russian revolution the losers fled for their lives. As did Trotsky when Stalin was seeking to kill him. I think he dressed as a woman to escape lol

I am talking about subsequent leaders who actually ruled Russia. Yeltsin helped usher in the Chicago Boys reforms in Russia and he literally fired on Congress. The Peruvian guy does less than that but he is denounced - yet Yeltsin was supported by USA. There is a cover of Time Magazine w him holding an American flag saying “Yanks to the Rescue” where we claimed to have interfered in the Russian elections to have him re-elected despite a 6% (!!) approval rating. We did it so the communist party candidate wouldn’t get into power (Zyuganov).

They even made a movie about it https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=X1Z7pAcGQSQ

So when it comes to Russia, interfering in their elections is something we are proud of doing and even probably overstate it for propaganda purposes. That is another reason why even on a logic/hypocrisy level, very little said by large states (especially empires) means anything to intelligent people. It’s all sound bites designed to get public support for the latest policy of the latest administration, who themselves make it up as they go. Instead of working hard to hear legitimate concerns of others and prevent wars, they escalate wars. This is true across the board in Russia, China, USA etc. They supposedly “work for us” but they do such a terrible job and then we have to pay with our taxes and our boys (and kill other people by the tens of thousands) for THEIR mistakes while they never even come close to paying the price an average young male member of the public has to pay.

In the Russian revolution, 20 million people died, many killing their own relatives. But not Stalin, Lenin, or any of the Bolshevik leaders. Must be nice to be the political class. And people buy this bullshit. Read “war is a racket” by Smeey Butler

[throwaway290]

Yes, it is clear you are talking about USSR and post-USSR RF. Again I don't know what's the point of picking a period with no real change of power, not even close to what seems possible in Iran.

Russian leaders were as quick to leave as any when shit hit the fan is my point.

[citilife]

> Even Navalny came back to face the music, and he wasnt even president (yet?)

The dude has a a net positivity of -30% rating ... and is a designated terrorist.

> According to polls conducted by the Levada Center in September 2020, 20% of Russians approve Navalny's activities, 50% disapprove, and 18% had never heard of him. Out of those who were able to recognize Navalny, 10% said that they have "respect" for him, 8% have sympathy and 15% "could not say anything bad" about him. 31% are "neutral" towards him, 14% "could not say anything good" about him and 10% dislike him.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexei_Navalny

You could argue Russia is corrupt, but it equally seems likely the west is propping this guy up because he's an "asset". Navalny isn't anywhere close to electable. He's convicted of multiple crimes, in solitary for trying to start / organize a prisoners union (something the west also pushes back against) and isn't generally liked in Russia. Especially, when comparing to someone like Putin who has a +50% approval rating

https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-ra...

[EGreg]

You could have said the same about Mandela and the ANC. Or Lenin and the Communists. Or Robespierre and the Jacobians.

Happy to say that Mandela and Navalny seemed less likely to create violent revolutions and big terrors, than those other two guys.

[throwaway290]

> They can live in luxury, but you cannot buy respect. Folks are allowed to show you, in small ways that you are forever unwelcome in civil society.

Ah, what wouldn't I give to feel forever unwelcome in small ways but have another country's passport/bank account/etc. Heartwarming to know it's easier for those who are running my (on paper) country into mud. Guess I'll keep running around the sanctions I'm under because of them while they live in luxury and know they will be about to keep doing it no matter what goes down.

I don't think they and their helicopters should be allowed in and their funny money should not convert as it degrades democracy.

[themitigating]

"They can live in luxury, but you cannot buy respect."

If they were ok with being hated by the world and some large percentage of their population why would they care about being respected?

I think this is huge divide between sociopaths and normal people. You think everyone cares about honor, respect, and the like but many people just want money and or power.

[greggarious]

>I think this is huge divide between sociopaths and normal people. You think everyone cares about honor, respect, and the like but many people just want money and or power.

I know. I worked in DC :-)

[JadeNB]

> Someone told me in a bar on K Street the thing Vladimir Putin fears most is being hung from a gas station like Mussolinu, and I suspect that goes for all totalitarians.

> What scares me is I've met people like that at home in the USA.

I'm trying to give this a charitable reading, but I'm puzzled by it.

First, I'm pretty sure that Mussolini was shot, not hanged, but obviously that doesn't change the main sentiment.

Second, I don't think I'm particularly likely to be hanged, and not much more likely than the average USian to be shot, but both those outcomes do frighten me if I think about them. So, when you say "What scares me is I've met people like that at home in the USA", do you mean people who are scared of being shot or hanged, or people who think that their likely end is being shot or hanged? Or something else?

Since you're getting a lot of reasoned replies I assume your meaning is clear to others, but I'm really having trouble figuring it out.

[another2another]

I also heard somewhere (also don't have link), that he apparently watched in horror the killing of Gaddafi multiple times, possibly imagining himself in the same situation.

I wonder if there's a deepfake of that video with Putin's face instead of Gaddafi's - that would certainly freak him out :)

[citilife]

> Someone told me in a bar on K Street the thing Vladimir Putin fears most is being hung from a gas station like Mussolinu, and I suspect that goes for all totalitarians.

Putin has openly said he despises what the west did to Gaddafi and believes thats what they want for him. He not only fears it, but but said he fears for his civilization (Russia).

The west makes it pretty easy to be feareful - https://www.cbsnews.com/news/clinton-on-qaddafi-we-came-we-s...

Putin asked what right the west had to assassinate Gaddafi without a trial and destroy all the countries infrastructure

https://www.the-sun.com/news/2268833/vladimir-putin-killed-g...

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-putin-libya-idUSTR...

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/apr/26/libya-us-briti...

[greggarious]

>Putin asked what right the west had to assassinate Gaddafi without a trial and destroy all the countries infrastructure

The purposeful destruction of infrastructure is an inexcusable war crime.

But "the west" did not stick a sword up Gaddafi's butt -- that was his own people, enraged by the actions of a totalitarian.

"The West" did not wander into Libya and and lynch a so called world leader who only wants norms followed when said lynch mob has formed.

To kill in this manner is a crime, but it happens when so many laws and norms have been broken it's more akin to manslaughter, more akin to a concentration camp victim losing their temper, seizing a firearm, and executing their former captors.

(As they say in America: "Fuck around, find out.")

[citilife]

> But "the west" did not stick a sword up Gaddafi's butt -- that was his own people, enraged by the actions of a totalitarian.

Sure, a nato air strike hit Gaddafi's vehicles and opposition was given the location to attack...

People on the ground definitely "finished the job", but it was the massive air campaign and provided intelligence, leadership and weaponry to opposition that ended up getting Gaddafi killed.

For the record, I'm not supporting anyone here. I'm pointing out the idea the Putin isn't scared of his people as much as NATO. Per his own words.

Putin is massively popular in Russia https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-ra...

Doesn't mean the 15-20% who massively dislike him wouldn't hang him. It would just only happen if Nato or the west provided support to the opposition.

[xtian]

“We came, we saw, he died.” - Hillary Clinton

[greggarious]

I don't like that politician, her inaction caused a friend to die.

(You should have guarded the embassy better. RIP vilerat.)

[rasz]

This is projecting. Everything you said russia has been doing for years.

Less than a week ago russians published those photos https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/zcak...

[mindslight]

Sure, but this fear of "ending up like Gaddafi" still doesn't doesn't make for a justification, or even an explanation, of why Putin thought it was a good idea to invade a neighboring country. Egging "The West" on made that worry much closer to becoming real. If Putin wanted to be left alone, he's done the exact wrong thing.

I think the fuller explanation is that Putin got drunk on his own Kool-aid of successful propaganda ops against the West, and thought that would translate into battlefield success. Nobody thinks of themselves as a bad person, so the perspective of rulers is that people love them and want to be ruled by them. Hence why Russia started off by sending shock paratroopers to be "greeted as liberators" rather than an actual invasion force.

What I do know is the Russia-Ukraine war is a referendum on the post-WWII international order - whether those lines on a map mean something. And even despite the moral hazards from the outsized winners in that international order (eg the Iraq War), it's seeming that we're much better off with it than without it. And this applies a thousand times over if you're American or European.

[citilife]

I think Putin was actually extremely clear why he invaded Ukraine. NATO was expanding to Russia's border

https://nypost.com/2021/12/23/putin-demands-nato-not-expand-...

Ukraine was hostile to the Russian people, banning their language in schools and refusing to uphold neutrality. France tried to broker a deal before the war broke out (upholding the Minsk agreements).

https://www.wsj.com/articles/putin-to-meet-macron-as-france-...

> Sure, but this fear of "ending up like Gaddafi" still doesn't doesn't make for a justification, or even an explanation, of why Putin thought it was a good idea to invade a neighboring country. Egging "The West" on made that worry much closer to becoming real. If Putin wanted to be left alone, he's done the exact wrong thing.

The west supported a coup in Ukraine, overthrowing the elected leadership of Ukraine.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/6/22/russias-putin-accus...

Russia then attempted to negotiate with the new Ukrainian government

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minsk_agreements

Ukraine openly ignored the agreement and has been seeking EU / US involvement. Immediately before Russia invaded there was a massive increase in shelling (noted by international observers as well). Which could easily lead one to believe Ukraine was about to start another push into Donbass

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-sharp-incre...

Just prior to Russia invading, Ukraine was openly discussing the attempt to obtain nuclear weapons

https://www.dailywire.com/news/president-zelensky-suggests-u...

Everything points to expansion of the west, which triggered Putin's fears.

I'm not saying he should have invaded, he effectively lost in the political influence game, so he switched to the kinetic realm. But in his mind he thinks NATO is out to destroy him and his civilization (his own words). It makes sense if you watch what the west has done to people like Gaddaffi, Serbia, or Iraq. I'm not supporting anything here, but am pointing out the mindset.

[mindslight]

Well, I guess that was my fault for giving you an opening to dump all the thoroughly-debunked copypasta. In the post-WWII international order where lines on the map are generally respected to avoid war: Russia attacked, and continues to attack, a sovereign country. Period.

If you pull it into some other paradigm than the post-WWII international order, where Russia presumably has some inherent right of conquest, then sure, you can come up with justifications of why Russia "had" to act. But as I alluded to in my last comment, if you are an American or European taking that post-WWII order for granted, you are gravely mistaken.

[citilife]

> thoroughly-debunked copypasta. In the post-WWII international order where lines on the map are generally respected to avoid war: Russia attacked, and continues to attack, a sovereign country. Period.

None of that has been debunked, it's quite literally factual events and treaties not honored that all parties admit weren't honored. None of those facts are in dispute by anyone.

Regardless, if you want to dive into the post-WWII international order, the right of self-determination also wasn't honored. The west aided in a coup in 2014, removing the elected leadership of Ukraine. After that, the western half of Ukraine voted to leave Ukraine. Only after 6-8 years of fighting between the Ukrainian parties did Russia become involved directly and a new vote (where they again voted to join Russia) did they in fact join Russia.

As with everything in life, it depends on perspective. I'm personally an avid pacifist. Taking a life is never justified, even in self-defense. I personally see both "sides" as acting poorly here.

That said, I can look at both arguments and obviously see Russia is acting in self-interest. Ukraine is acting in their interest. But only one side here has been having their homes shelled for 8 years (the Donbass).

[staticman2]

I don't want to blow your mind or anything but pretending to be a more moral person than you actually are is an effective way to gain power and wealth and an immoral person will not be honest about their motivations or intentions.

[reducesuffering]

> I think Putin was actually extremely clear why he invaded Ukraine

I think Putin was actually extremely clear before February that Russia is not going to invade Ukraine. Oh wait, he lied.