[mudrockbestgirl]

I'll make an anti-prediction instead. People will fail to find decent use cases for ChatGPT/etc. We'll get used to the fact that AI models can generate language that looks indistinguishable from humans on the surface, but there won't be profound impact. GPT-3 was released in 2020, and generative image models have been decent since ~2017. In the short term there hasn't been as huge of an impact as many have predicted. It'll probably happen very slowly over the next 5-10 years. People overestimate the short term.

Twitter is going to be interesting to watch. I think it'll either crash and burn, or become huge doing something very different from what it is now.

EDIT: I'll add one more. Meta will keep declining and fails to deliver anything meaningful wrt. Metaverse.

[ageitgey]

I agree that people will get used to text generation existing and it won't be as exciting. But I think people are already finding lots of use cases for it.

For example, we had a case where we had thousands of technical medical descriptions and we wanted to simplify them into "average person" descriptions. In the past, that meant someone going through each one and re-wording them as best as they could. But an engineer tried pasting them all in to ChatGPT and asking it to reword them and it worked surprisingly well.

In another example, my wife had to send an email to a volunteer group asking them to participate in an upcoming activity. She was able to draft a base email to edit in about 1 second with ChatGPT. Then she could edit it as needed.

I've also heard from folks in marketing getting a lot of use out of these tools.

So maybe none of these use cases are individually transformative, but I think it will at least be a tool on par with spellcheck that is super handy and widely used.

[mudrockbestgirl]

I agree. What I meant to say is not that there won't be any use cases, but rather that they won't be as obviously transformative as people expect them to be. We won't have new kinds of products that are uniquely enabled by ChatGPT. Instead, we will get incremental improvements in spell checking, rewording text, code search, etc. But just like Gmail's autocomplete, better language translation, or better voice recognition, these will be largely behind the scenes and won't lead to big societal changes. Many of these improvements will be existing companies integrating better models, not new startups that become possible now because of ChatGPT.