[80x25]

This is spot on. I'm very glad to see this post mention the "No Silver Bullet" essay. Despite being written in 1986, it continues to provide a relevant, skeptical view on the impact of these LMMs on software. It even has a section addressing whether AI can provide the "silver bullet", which is drawn upon by the OP.

My immediate response to all the rightly-deserved excitement for ChatGPT is to reread that essay and reflect on whether this new tool will provide me more than marginal gains in my productivity. Experimenting with it a bit over the last day, my initial answer is, no, this doesn't provide more than marginal gains outside toy examples.

These tools may very well factor into my workflow in the future, but I don't see them fundamentally changing the way I construct, support, debug, and maintain software.