[eimrine]

> AI is the next 100x productivity boost.

I do not agree with this statement. There is totally no progress in AI since cryptowinter. Just there are too much people with always-online smartphones, so governments considered this field as too big to be out of their control. And it leads to 100x increase of no-brain programming job where everything what is needed from that kind of programmers - to fight against users.

The author is right about big changes is coming, but not the changes he is writing about.

[CuriouslyC]

AI will definitely eventually allow one person to perform the work that would take 100 today, and more. It's pretty easy to see the path there by extrapolating from what's happening in image/video diffusion models right now, and the language models have shown that they can task generalize well into basic problem solving, to the extent that a problem is similar to something that has been solved many times before. Simple tools built using the models of today could easily double the productivity of an artist or writer, so we're somewhere between 1 and 2 orders of magnitude off, which seems very achievable to me given the progress of the last 50 years.

[eimrine]

Stable diffusion is not work, it can not develop logo of my grocery shop without a designer and it cannot even give me a PSD or SVG file.

> Simple tools built using the models of today could easily double the productivity of an artist or writer,

This message might be more useful if you give any other searchable names of such a pieces of AI software.