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by bluehorseray 1290 days ago
If anything I think China no longer manufacturing cheap foreign goods will strengthen them in the longterm
1 comments

China's tradjectory if anything should concern South Korea, US, Japan and Taiwan. They are increasingly investing in the ultra-high tech end of the spectrum. Gen 4 nuclear reactors, solar, semi-conductors, batteries, factory automation, agri-tech.

Probably doesn't help the US is playing right into the CCP narrative by employing tech sanctions on China, further feeding nationalistic desire to be self-sufficient. That wouldn't be a huge threat if it wasn't for the huge STEM graduation rate of Chinese students (not just in China, but around the world) and the huge amount of funding put aside for these efforts. Take away ASML EUV machines from the one country most capable of developing their own EUV source and associated optics...? Like how dumb do you have to be to make that mistake.

My guess is this ultimately boils down to the US making the call that they have to stall out Chinese tech/military ambitions by ~10 years to prevent China population peak also coinciding with tech supremacy peak, because if that was to happen in about 2035 then it's very likely China would be much too powerful to prevent them breaking out of the Island Chain containment.